Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 197.634165 228.473989 263.533452 306.545360 358.168908 418.480128 494.778025
2025-09-28 155.603278 194.581476 243.293576 309.422889 398.064394 514.523239 682.047428
2025-10-05 138.312705 182.883051 242.515435 329.777257 457.033930 640.424132 933.439129
2025-10-12 125.325672 173.201465 240.853655 346.122796 510.875874 767.949303 1218.793094
2025-10-19 110.884640 158.657186 229.149827 344.407989 535.575639 854.465001 1460.536245
2025-10-26 102.296030 151.131077 226.150105 354.677929 580.067990 981.438795 1808.366768
2025-11-02 94.192826 143.081449 220.871193 359.782540 615.910271 1100.193617 2176.514162
2025-11-09 87.604343 136.494034 216.841108 365.957964 654.234045 1231.607988 2614.098586
2025-11-16 80.841704 128.761912 209.769018 365.314237 679.025154 1341.100559 3040.069863
2025-11-23 74.892065 121.706189 202.917589 363.849020 701.570853 1450.727063 3506.999759
2025-11-30 70.438447 116.738945 199.127090 367.577047 735.451131 1593.973714 4121.329782
2025-12-07 64.173599 107.932980 187.303534 353.482737 727.664220 1636.037814 4462.662167
2025-12-14 59.703010 102.419436 181.925090 353.855705 757.620387 1793.260204 5280.746970
2025-12-21 55.945298 97.901219 178.057114 357.211734 796.649376 1990.923638 6369.963988
2025-12-28 54.708269 97.983837 183.232742 381.381332 893.525350 2387.703984 8487.840959
2026-01-04 53.046931 97.028132 186.121852 400.827718 983.644885 2803.255193 11062.930920
2026-01-11 49.684359 92.307386 180.467841 398.786133 1013.981852 3038.426373 13040.030090
2026-01-18 47.782849 90.363264 180.555646 411.018172 1089.355031 3465.185478 16479.252120
2026-01-25 45.581863 87.564928 178.393184 417.102485 1148.078080 3860.161464 20251.364774
2026-02-01 43.653102 85.151234 176.806734 424.467019 1213.395918 4316.772494 25103.867539
2026-02-08 41.366561 81.745113 172.514627 423.699143 1251.775080 4681.692692 29906.016372
2026-02-15 39.218001 78.450190 168.121776 421.951512 1286.733047 5053.255623 35467.639375
2026-02-22 37.594159 76.184732 165.971555 426.398564 1345.962548 5579.523390 43598.906069